Bitcoin prices remain vulnerable to more dives even as top analysts print a rosy picture for the cryptocurrency.
The bitcoin-to-dollar exchange rate appears trapped inside a technical range, dubbed as Symmetrical Triangle, since March 12. The pair is oscillating between two converging trendlines as it marches towards the Triangle’s apex. The pattern shows a weak buying demand near the Resistance and a similarly low selling pressure near the Support.
BTC/USD stuck in Triangle’s range | Source: TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s hourly momentum indicator flashes a similar buying/selling sentiment. The cryptocurrency’s recent higher low formations have formed at the same time when its Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) nears or closes above the overbought threshold. Similarly, the RSI plunges into the oversold areas whenever price forms lower high.
A Bearish Setup in Play
Bitcoin’s price consolidation could exhaust upon reaching the apex of the Triangle – or before.
Such a scenario would prompt a breakout, wherein bitcoin could break above the Resistance or below the Support. The probability of it breaking below the Support Trendline is higher because of bitcoin’s prevailing downside sentiment. Symmetrical Triangles are continuation patterns – they typically move in the direction of the previous trend.
Symmetrical Triangle Example | Source: Shutterstock
A move towards the south could lead bitcoin to as deep as the height of the triangle, according to textbook definitions. That would bring the cryptocurrency down to near $3,350 as its early downside target. A premature breakdown, at the same time, could lead bitcoin further below the $$3,350 level.
Top Bitcoin Analysts are Bullish
The short-term bearish setup does not deviate bitcoin from hitting new highs as it heads further into 2020, according to some top analysts and important figures inside the cryptocurrency industry.
Former hedge fund manager Raoul Pal believes bitcoin to behave as a savior for investors that are suffering due to the ongoing financial system collapse led by the Coronavirus outbreak. The RealVision’s CEO/Co-founder said in a tweet published Thursday that bitcoin’s recovery would be even bigger than gold, a traditional asset that typically acts as safe-haven in times of global crisis.
“I can not express how bullish I am on bitcoin. We are at risk of losing the entire system right now. I know they will find a way to save it but all trust is lost,” he noted.
Bitcoin started falling dramatically in March as investors sought refuge in cash over any available safe-haven. Global media reported that institutions sold the cryptocurrency to cover their margin calls and losses in the overburdened stock market. Analysts also blamed BitMEX, a crypto derivatives exchange, for hosting long liquidations of almost $700 million.
That had brought bitcoin’s price down by more than 50 percent in just 30 minutes.
Willy Woo, a blockchain statistician, said Thursday that bitcoin is gradually breaking its short-term positive correlation with the rest of the financial markets. He further cited data that showed crypto miners returning to work after the recent hash-rate drop.
Bitcoin Miners Energy Ratio made a strong rebound, lots of energy being pumped into the network. Bullish. (Data from Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance) pic.twitter.com/8qAbBaaa01
— Willy Woo (@woonomic) March 19, 2020
At the press time, Bitcoin was trading at $5,703 per token, up more than 5 percent into the day. Meanwhile, US stock futures were hinting a drop of 400 points after the New York market open.